seasonality

Time series breaks the usual ML assumptions: data is ordered and correlated, so random cross-validation silently leaks the future and inflates your score. What matters is decomposition, point-in-time features, and time-aware validation.

Prophet treats forecasting as curve-fitting trend plus seasonality plus holidays, rather than as a stochastic process. The signal is knowing why that design wins on business data and where it quietly fails. Here is the answer.

Threshold alarms page you all weekend yet sleep through Monday's actual outage. What interviewers reward is stripping out seasonality first, matching the detector to the anomaly, and tuning against alert fatigue. Here is the answer that holds up in production.

Anomaly detection seems simple until seasonality, cold start, and alert fatigue arrive. The signal is modeling the expected baseline (including weekly and daily cycles), picking unsupervised methods when labels are scarce, and tuning so you do not bury users in false alarms. Here is the design.